As a leader in the construction industry the majority of your value-add is:
- Making good decisions
- Ensuring those decisions are executed
- Teaching others how to do the same
In a simple system the decision tree may have a few known variables and a single clear path which is easily trainable.
Most project decisions are more complex having more variables and outside influences impacting results over a longer time span. Given time pressures and limits of the human brain only a few of those variables can be accounted for accurately in our mental model of a situation.
The results of a good decision making process are not 100% good but the average results over time are good. Resulting is a term used in poker when a player starts changing a good decision making process based on the resulting outcomes. This seems logical but will lead to an overall decline in results with increased variability.